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region BRIEFING FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT These forecasts were prepared on 2013-05-20 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 La:US$ (av) 19.1 19.6 20.6 21.6 22.6 Nominal appreciation of La ( %) -0.1 -3.0 -4.5 -4.7 -4.5 Real appreciation of La ( %) 3.9 -0.4 -1.8 -2.1 -1.7 La:US$ (end period) 19.1 20.1 21.0 22.1 23.1 ...
Honduras : region outlook FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT POLITICAL STABILITY: The government of the president, Porfirio Lobo , will focus its efforts during its final months in office on securing a victory for the Partido Nacional (PN) in the upcoming elections, scheduled for November. However, it will face mounting pressure to address the region's worsening security situation a...
Outlook for 2013-17: Forecast summary Forecast summary ( % unless otherwise indicated) 2012 a 2013 b 2014 b 2015 b 2016 b 2017 b Real GDP growth 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 Gross agricultural production growth 8.1 3.1 4.1 5.0 5.0 4.5 Gross fixed investment growth 3.0 6.5 7.8 8.2 8.2 8.3 Unemployment rate (av) 4.5 ...
RISK RATINGS Current Current Previous Previous Rating Score Rating Score Overall assessment D 63 D 63 Foreign trade & payments risk C 43 C 43 Note: E=most risky; 100=most risky. The risk ratings model is run once a quarter. Download the numbers in Excel SUMMARY Honduras' external accounts have deteriorated since the 2009 recession,...
region BRIEFING FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT These forecasts were prepared on 2013-02-13 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 La:US$ (av) 18.9 19.5 20.5 21.5 22.5 Nominal appreciation of La ( %) 0.0 -3.1 -4.6 -4.7 -4.5 Real appreciation of La ( %) 4.0 -0.5 -2.4 -1.9 -1.7 La:US$ (end period) 18.9 19.9 20.9 21.9 22...
region BRIEFING FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT These forecasts were prepared on 2013-02-13 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 La:US$ (av) 18.9 19.5 20.5 21.5 22.5 Nominal appreciation of La ( %) 0.0 -3.1 -4.6 -4.7 -4.5 Real appreciation of La ( %) 4.0 -0.5 -2.4 -1.9 -1.7 La:US$ (end period) 18.9 19.9 20.9 21.9 22...
Outlook for 2013-17: Forecast summary Forecast summary ( % unless otherwise indicated) 2012 a 2013 b 2014 b 2015 b 2016 b 2017 b Real GDP growth 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 Gross agricultural production growth 3.9 3.1 4.1 5.0 5.0 4.5 Gross fixed investment growth 8.9 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.1 Unemployment rate (av) 4.5 ...
RISK RATINGS Current Current Previous Previous Rating Score Rating Score Overall assessment D 63 D 63 Macroeconomic risk B 30 B 30 Note: E=most risky; 100=most risky. The risk ratings model is run once a quarter. Download the numbers in Excel SUMMARY The government was granted a Stand-By Arrangement with the IMF in October 2010 but...
Honduras : region outlook FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT POLITICAL STABILITY: The political scene has now shifted towards the next general election, which is expected to be held in late 2013. These will be the 1st fully free , fair elections since 2005, given that the most recent ballot took place shortly after the July 2009 coup d'état, in which the military, backed by...
RISK RATINGS Current Current Previous Previous Rating Score Rating Score Overall assessment D 63 D 63 Security risk D 64 D 64 Political stability risk C 50 C 50 Government effectiveness risk E 93 E 93 Legal & regulatory risk D 68 D 68 Macroeconomic risk B 30 B 30 Foreign trade & payments risk ...
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